July 2, 2024

Power Ranking Every MLB Team’s Ace Entering 2024 Season

In constructing a list ranking the aces of all 30 teams, you realize there are five or so starters who have no business taking the ball on Opening Day. But the flip side of that is when limiting each team to only their very best pitcher, other ace-caliber arms get left off the countdown.

Among those we’re considering the No. 2 starters in their own rotation—even if they would be aces on other squads—are Max Fried of the Atlanta Braves, Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies and George Kirby of the Seattle Mariners.

Fried was limited to just 14 starts a year ago, but has three Gold Glove Awards and two top-five finishes in NL Cy Young Award voting on his resume. He’s set to become part of a deep class of pitching free agents next winter.

Nola, meanwhile, was briefly a free agent this offseason before returning to the Phillies on a seven-year, $172 million deal. In 2018 and 2022, Nola finished in the top four in NL Cy Young Award voting. He’s also one of the premier workhorses in the game today, as his 1,065.1 innings pitched since the start of 2018 are second only to Gerrit Cole’s.

Finally, Kirby is someone who may not have as much national recognition as Fried and Nola but should. Kirby was an All-Star for the first time in 2023, posting a 3.35 ERA and 4.4 WAR over 190.2 innings pitched.

So yes, the first few names on this list, in an ideal world, wouldn’t be aces. But the overwhelming majority deserve to the recognition, so much so that they’ve pushed other elite starters off the countdown. Here, from worst to first, is B/R’s ranking of the league’s 30 aces entering the 2024 season.

30. Paul Blackburn, Oakland Athletics

Age in 2024: 30

2023 Stats: 4-7, 103.2 IP, 4.43 ERA, 3.96 FIP, 104 K’s, 1.5 WAR

While Blackburn’s 4.43 ERA in 2023 would lead you to believe that he had a disappointing follow-up after being an All-Star in 2022, there needs to be more context added.

First of all, the A’s have gutted their roster with owner John Fisher not even pretending to try, so someone that’s probably not deserving is going to get a chance to be an All-Star every season. That someone was Blackburn in 2022.

Secondly, while Blackburn’s ERA increased 15 points between 2022 and 2023, his 3.96 FIP over 103.2 innings pitched last season was quite the improvement over the 4.21 mark he finished 2022 with.

The more important context is that Blackburn shouldn’t be an ace for an MLB team, and probably shouldn’t even be a No. 3 starter. But that premise assumes the A’s are trying to put together an MLB-caliber team in what appear to be their waning days in Oakland. What they’re actually trying to do is build a team so bad that fans don’t show up and they can work backward from their conclusion to relocate to Las Vegas. And unfortunately, Blackburn is caught up in that fiasco, serving as the No. 1 starter on a team with very few other players worthy of being in the majors.

29. Kyle Freeland, Colorado Rockies

Age in 2024: 31

2023 Stats: 6-14, 155.2 IP, 5.03 ERA, 5.30 FIP, 94 K’s, 1.2 WAR

If you want to talk about someone who had a “Linsanity run” in baseball, Freeland’s 2018 season increasingly feels like it fits the bill.

Playing for his hometown Rockies, Freeland went 17-7 with a 2.85 ERA and 4.1 WAR across 202.1 innings, finishing fourth in NL Cy Young Award voting. In the five seasons since then, Freeland is 27-47 with a 4.96 ERA.

Once upon a time, Freeland and Germán Márquez looked like one of the most promising one-two punches in baseball. At the outset of the 2024 season, Freeland is the second-lowest-rated ace on this list, and Márquez will be on the 60-day injured list as he continues to recover from the Tommy John surgery he underwent last May.

With each passing year, Ubaldo Jiménez finishing third in NL Cy Young Award voting in 2010 while playing his home games at Coors Field looks more impressive.

28. Reid Detmers, Los Angeles Angels

 

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