June 20, 2024

With Super Bowl LVIII now behind us and the Chiefs getting ready to celebrate yet another title, the NFL as a whole has officially moved on to 2024. How big of a chance does Vegas give the Browns to win the Lombardi Trophy the following season?

After defeating the 49ers 25–22 in Super Bowl LVIII, the Kansas City Chiefs have won the Lombardi Trophy for the third time in the previous five years.

As Patrick Mahomes and his team prepare for a parade this week, the NFL as a whole is focusing on Super Bowl LIX in an attempt to unseat Kansas City.

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Obviously, the Browns are included in this, given they lost their 2023 season early in the Wild Card Round. Cleveland has high expectations for the upcoming season since star quarterback Deshaun Watson is expected to return from shoulder surgery, along with several other important players who had season-ending injuries. But what are the chances of those Super Bowl aspirations coming true?

The SI Sportsbook’s oddsmakers believe the Browns have a +5000 chance of winning the Lonbardy in February of the next year. Given that 16 teams are thought to have superior chances of winning the championship—among them the Chicago Bears, who have two picks in the top 10 of the draft, including the No. 1 overall pick—that number seems to indicate they’re ready for a regression.

With odds of +4000, the Bears are one slot ahead of Cleveland, while the Rams and Chargers are next at +3500. Jaguars are at +3300. The Texans, who eliminated the Browns from the playoffs, at +2500, and the Jets at +3000.

The San Francisco 49ers, who finished second in the Super Bowl, have the greatest chances (+600) to win the championship as well as return to the big game. Next in line at +850 are the Chiefs, the defending champions.

In addition to having very long odds to win Super Bowl LIX, the Browns’ division rivals, Baltimore and Cincinnati, are both ranked in the top 5. Baltimore opens the offseason at +1000, while Cincinnati is ranked at +1500.

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